Muna 2022, pasi pemusana wemutengo wepamusoro wemitengo yemarasha uye kuenderera mberi kwekukura kwesimba rekugadzira mudzimba mumusika wemethanol, yakapfuura nekutenderera kwe "W" vibration maitiro ane amplitude inodarika 36%. Tichitarisira kuna 2023, maindasitiri emukati anotenda kuti gore rino methanol musika ucharamba uchienderana neiyo macro mamiriro uye indasitiri kutenderera maitiro. Nekugadziriswa kwekugovera uye kudiwa hukama uye kugadziridzwa kwemitengo yezvigadzirwa, zvinotarisirwa kuti kudiwa kwekugadzira kuchakura panguva imwe chete, musika uchave wakagadzikana uye wakagadzikana. Iyo inoratidzawo hunhu hwekudzikisa kukura kwehuwandu hwekugadzira, shanduko muchimiro chevatengi, uye kuchinjika kwakawanda mumusika. Panguva imwecheteyo, kukanganisa kwekutengesa kunze kwenyika pamusika wepamba kunogona kunyanya kuratidzwa muhafu yechipiri yegore.
Kukura kwehuwandu hwehuwandu hunononoka
Zvinoenderana nehuwandu kubva kuHenan Chemical Network, muna 2022, nyika yangu yekugadzira methanol yaive 5.545 miriyoni matani, uye hutsva hwepasi rose hwekugadzira methanol hwakanyanya kuChina. Kusvika pakupera kwa2022, huwandu hwenyika yangu hwekugadzira methanol hwaive hunosvika 113.06 miriyoni matani, zvichiverengera makumi mashanu nepfumbamwe muzana yehuwandu hwekugadzira huwandu hwepasirese, uye hunobudirira hwekugadzira hwaive hunosvika zana remamiriyoni ematani, kuwedzera kwe5.7% gore-pagore.
Han Hongwei, mutevedzeri wemutungamiri weHenan Petroleum uye Chemical Industry Association, akati muna 2023, nyika yangu yekugadzira methanol inoramba ichikura, asi kukura kunodzikira. Muna 2023, hutsva hwenyika yangu methanol hunogona kunge hunosvika 4.9 miriyoni matani. Panguva iyoyo, huwandu hwese hwekugadzira methanol huchasvika 118 miriyoni matani, gore-on-gore kuwedzera kwe4.4%. Parizvino, iyo ichangobva kugadzirwa yemarasha-ku-methanol mudziyo yakaderedzwa zvakanyanya, zvakanyanya nekuda kwekusimudzirwa kwe "double carbon" tarisiro uye yakanyanya mari yekudyara yemapurojekiti emakemikari emarasha. Kunyangwe iyo hunyanzvi hutsva hunogona kushandurwa zvinobudirira kuita chaiyo yekugadzira kugona mune ramangwana inoda zvakare kuterera kune kutungamira kwegwaro re "Fourteen Five-Year Plan" kuronga mukutungamira kweindasitiri yemakemikari matsva emarasha, pamwe nekuchinja kwekuchengetedza kwezvakatipoteredza uye marasha marongero.
Zvinoenderana nemusika wepamberi-mutsara weruzivo mhinduro, kubva muna Ndira 29, mutengo wekutengesa wemumba methanol wakakwira kusvika pa2,600 yuan (mutengo wetani, iwoyo pazasi), uye mutengo wechiteshi wakatokwira kusvika ku2,800 yuan, kuwedzera kwemwedzi kwakasvika 13%. "Kukanganisa kwekutanga kwehuwandu hutsva pamusika kunogona kuratidzwa muhafu yechipiri yegore, uye zvinotarisirwa kuti kudzokororwa pazasi pemutengo wemethanol pakutanga kwegore kunotarisirwa kuenderera." Han Hongwei akadaro.
Chimiro chekushandisa chinoshanduka
Munhu anoona nezvechirongwa cheZhongyuan Futures Methanol akati nekuda kwekudzivirira nekudzora denda uye kupera simba kwehupfumi hwenyika, chimiro chemangwana chekushandisa methanol chichachinjawo. Pakati pavo, kukurumidza kwekusimudzira kwemarasha-ku-olefins nekushandiswa kwe55% kunogona kuderera, uye kushandiswa kwemaindasitiri echinyakare kuzasi kunotarisirwa kukura zvakare.
Cui Huajie, munhu anotungamira Henan Ruiyuanxin's Chemical Management, akati izvo zvinodikanwa zveolefins zvave kushaya simba kubvira 2022, uye kunyangwe musika wakagadzirwa methanol wakagadziriswa nekukatyamadza, unoramba wakakwira. Pasi pemitengo yakakwira, marasha-ku-olefin anochengetedza kurasikirwa kwekurasikirwa kwegore rose. Yakakanganiswa neizvi, kugadzirwa kwemarasha-ku-olefin kwakaratidza zviratidzo zvekuderera. Nekukwenenzvera uye makemikari akabatanidzwa purojekiti yemumba imwe chete maitiro muna 2022 -Shenghong kunatsa uye kugadzirwa kwakazara, iyo Slipon methanol olefin (MTO) chirongwa chemethanol chichava 2.4 miriyoni matani mudzidziso. Iyo chaiyo yekuda kukura mwero weolefins pamethanol unowedzera kudzikira.
Sekureva kwemaneja weHenan Energy Group, mune yechinyakare kuzasi kwemethanol, nhamba huru yemapurojekiti eacetic acid ichatangwa kubva 2020 kusvika 2021 pasi pekukwezva kwemhindu yakakwira, uye huwandu hwekugadzira acetic acid hwakachengeta kuwedzera kwegore kwematani miriyoni mumakore maviri apfuura. Muna 2023, 1.2 miriyoni matani eacetic acid inotarisirwa kuwedzerwa, ichiteverwa ne260,000 matani emethane chloride, 180,000 matani emethyl tert-butyl ether (MTBE) uye 550,000 matani eN, n-dimethylformamide (DMF). Pakazara, kukura kwekuda kwechinyakare kuzasi methanol indasitiri kune kuwedzera maitiro, uye mudzimba methanol yekushandiswa pateni zvakare inopa yakasarudzika nzira yekusimudzira, uye chimiro chekushandisa chinogona kuchinja. Nekudaro, zvirongwa zvekugadzira zveiyi hutsva hutsva mumaindasitiri echinyakare akadzika zvakanyanya muhafu yechipiri kana kupera kwegore, izvo zvichave nerutsigiro rushoma kumusika wemethanol muna 2023.
Kuvhunduka kwemusika hakudzivisiki
Zvinoenderana nemamiriro ezvinhu epazvino uye zvinodiwa, Shao Huiwen, mutsigiri wemusika mukuru, akataura kuti kugadzirwa kwemethanol mudzimba kwakatoona imwe dhigirii yekuwandisa, asi nekuda kwekudhura kwenyika methanol raw materials inogona kuramba ichikanganiswa, kana hutsva hwekugadzira methanol hunogona kurongwa muna 2023 maererano nehurongwa maererano nehurongwa. yakanakira kuumbwa kwemusika wemethanol muhafu yekutanga ye2023.
Kubva pamaonero ekugadzirwa kwemidziyo mitsva yemhiri kwemakungwa methanol, huwandu hwekugadzira hunoiswa muhafu yechipiri yegore. Kumanikidzwa kwekutengesa kunze kwenyika kunogona kuve pachena muhafu yechipiri yegore. Kana iyo yakaderera-mutengo wekutenga kunze kwenyika ukawedzera, musika wemethanol wepamba ucharamba wakatarisana nekukanganisa kwezvinhu zvinotengeswa kunze kwenyika muhafu yechipiri yegore.
Uye zvakare, muna 2023, iyo yechinyakare yakadzika indasitiri yemethanol uye maindasitiri ari kusimukira akarongwa kuisa mukugadzirwa kwezvikamu zvitsva, pakati peiyo huwandu hutsva hweMTO hunonyanya kusanganiswa kugadzirwa, methanol yakachena mafuta ine musika unowedzera mumunda wesimba idzva, kudiwa kwemethanol kunotarisirwa kuwedzera, asi mwero wekukura unogona kuramba uchidzikira. Musika wemethanol wepamba pazere uchiri muhuwandu hwekuwandisa. Zvinotarisirwa kuti misika yemumba methanol ichasimuka kutanga uye yozodzikama muna 2023, uye mukana wekugadzirisa muhafu yechipiri yegore haugone kubviswa. Nekudaro, nekuda kwekudhura kwemarasha akasvibira uye gasi rechisikigo, zvakaoma kuvandudza musika wemethanol munguva pfupi, uye kuvhunduka kwese kusingadzivisiki.
Maindasitiri mukati akati avhareji yegore yekukura kwehuwandu hwekugadzira methanol mumakore mashanu anotevera inotarisirwa kunge iri mufurati re3% kusvika 4%. Panguva imwecheteyo, nekubatanidzwa kwemaindasitiri uye kusimudzira tekinoroji, anopfuura miriyoni imwe matani emethanol kune olefin yekubatanidza mudziyo ichiri iyo huru, yakasvibira kabhoni uye mamwe maitiro ari kubuda achave ekuwedzera. Methanol kune aromatics uye methanol kune peturu ichawanawo mikana mitsva yebudiriro nekuwedzera kwechiyero cheindasitiri, asi iyo inozvitsigira yakasanganiswa mudziyo ichiri nzira huru yekusimudzira, simba remitengo richange riri mumaoko emabhizinesi makuru anotungamira, uye chiitiko chekuchinja kukuru mumusika wemethanol unotarisirwa kuvandudzwa.
Nguva yekutumira: Feb-08-2023