Muna 2022, zvichitevera mitengo yakakwira yemarasha asina kugadzirwa uye kukura kuri kuramba kuchienderera mberi kwesimba rekugadzira zvinhu zvemuno mumusika wemethanol wemuno, yakafamba nedanho re "W" vibration trend neamplitude yepamusoro inodarika 36%. Tichitarisira 2023, vemukati meindasitiri vanotenda kuti musika wemethanol wegore rino ucharamba uchienderana nemamiriro ezvinhu epasi rose uye mafambiro eindasitiri. Nekugadziriswa kwehukama hwekugovera nekudiwa uye kugadziriswa kwemitengo yezvinhu zvakagadzirwa, zvinotarisirwa kuti kudiwa kwekugadzira kuchakura panguva imwe chete, musika uchave wakasimba uye wakagadzikana. Inoratidzawo hunhu hwekunonoka kukura kwesimba rekugadzira, shanduko muchimiro chevatengi, uye kuchinja-chinja kwakawanda mumusika. Panguva imwe chete, kukanganisa kwemutengo unopinzwa kunze kwenyika pamusika wemuno kunogona kuratidzwa zvakanyanya muhafu yechipiri yegore.
Kukura kwesimba kunoderera
Zvichienderana nehuwandu hweHenan Chemical Network, muna 2022, kugona kwekugadzira methanol munyika yangu kwaive matani mamiriyoni 5.545, uye kugona kwekugadzira methanol pasi rose kwaive kwakanyanya muChina. Pakupera kwa2022, kugona kwekugadzira methanol munyika yangu kwaive matani angangoita mamiriyoni 113.06, zvichiita 59% yehuwandu hwekugadzira pasi rose, uye kugona kwekugadzira kwakabudirira kwaive matani angangoita mamiriyoni 100, kuwedzera kwe5.7% pagore.
Han Hongwei, mutevedzeri wemutungamiri weHenan Petroleum and Chemical Industry Association, akati muna 2023, kugona kwekugadzira methanol munyika yangu kunoramba kuchikura, asi mwero wekukura uchaderera. Muna 2023, kugona kwemethanol itsva munyika yangu kunogona kunge kuri matani angangoita mamiriyoni 4.9. Panguva iyoyo, kugona kwese kwekugadzira methanol yemuno kuchasvika matani mamiriyoni 118, kuwedzera kwegore negore kwe4.4%. Parizvino, chishandiso chitsva chekugadzira methanol kubva kumalahle chadzikiswa zvakanyanya, kunyanya nekuda kwekusimudzirwa kwechinangwa che "kabhoni kaviri" uye mutengo wekudyara wemapurojekiti emakemikari emarasha. Kana kugona kutsva kuchigona kushandurwa zvinobudirira kuita kugona chaiko kwekugadzira mune ramangwana kunofanirwawo kutarisisa nhungamiro yemutemo wekuronga "Chirongwa cheMakore Gumi Nemana Chemakore Mashanu" munzira yeindasitiri itsva yemakemikari emarasha, pamwe nekuchinja kwekuchengetedzwa kwezvakatipoteredza uye mitemo yemarasha.
Zvinoenderana neruzivo rwepamberi pemusika, kubva muna Ndira 29, mutengo wekutengesa wemethanol yemuno wakakwira kusvika pa2,600 yuan (mutengo wetani, wakafanana neuri pazasi), uye mutengo wechiteshi wakakwira kusvika pa2,800 yuan, kuwedzera kwemwedzi kwakasvika 13%. "Kukanganiswa kwekutangwa kwesimba idzva pamusika kunogona kuratidzwa muhafu yechipiri yegore, uye zvinotarisirwa kuti kukwira kwemutengo wemethanol pasi pegore kunotarisirwa kuenderera mberi." Han Hongwei akadaro.
Kuchinja kwechimiro chekushandiswa
Munhu anotungamira chirongwa cheZhongyuan Futures Methanol akati nekuda kwekudzivirira nekudzora denda iri uye kudzikira kwehupfumi hwenyika, chimiro chekushandiswa kwemethanol mune ramangwana chichachinjawo. Pakati pavo, kukurumidza kwekugadzirwa kwemafuta e-to-olefin ane huwandu hwe55% kunogona kudzikira, uye kushandiswa kwemaindasitiri ekare epasi kunotarisirwa kukura zvakare.
Cui Huajie, munhu anotungamira Henan Ruiyuanxin's Chemical Management, akati zvinodiwa ne olefins zvave zvisina kusimba kubvira muna 2022, uye kunyangwe musika we methanol usina kugadzirwa wakagadziriswa nekushomeka, unoramba wakakwira zvakanyanya. Nemitengo yakakwira, coal -to -olefin inoramba ichirasikirwa nekurasikirwa kwegore rese. Nekukanganiswa neizvi, kuvandudzwa kwe coal -to -olefin kwakaratidza zviratidzo zvekudzikira. Nechirongwa chepamusoro chekuchenesa nemakemikari chakabatanidzwa chemaitiro emuno ekugadzirisa -Shenghong muna 2022 uye kugadzirwa kwakazara, chirongwa cheSlipon methanol olefin (MTO) che methanol chichava matani mamiriyoni 2.4 mudzidziso. Mwero chaiwo wekukura kwe olefins pa methanol uchadzikira zvakanyanya.
Sekureva kwemaneja weHenan Energy Group, muchikamu chekare che methanol, mapurojekiti akawanda eacetic acid achatangwa kubva muna 2020 kusvika 2021 nekuda kwepurofiti yakakura, uye kugona kwekugadzira acetic acid kwakaramba kuri kuwedzera pagore kwemamiriyoni etani mumakore maviri apfuura. Muna 2023, matani mamiriyoni 1.2 eacetic acid anotarisirwa kuwedzerwa, achiteverwa nematani zviuru mazana maviri nemakumi matanhatu emethane chloride, matani zviuru zana nemakumi masere emethyl tert-butyl ether (MTBE) uye matani zviuru mazana mashanu nemakumi mashanu eN, n-dimethylformamide (DMF). Sezvineiwo, kukura kwekuda kweindasitiri yetsika yemethanol iri kuwedzera, uye maitiro ekushandiswa kwemethanol yemuno anounza zvakare maitiro akasiyana-siyana ekukura, uye chimiro chekushandiswa chinogona kuchinja. Zvisinei, zvirongwa zvekugadzira zvinhu zvitsva izvi mumaindasitiri ekare ari pasi pemvura zvinonyanya kutaurwa muhafu yechipiri kana kuti kuguma kwegore, izvo zvichave nerutsigiro rushoma kumusika we methanol muna 2023.
Kushamisika kwemusika hakudzivisiki
Zvichienderana nehurongwa huripo hwekupa nekudiwa, Shao Huiwen, muongorori mukuru wemusika, akati kugona kwekugadzira methanol yemuno kwatove nehuwandu hwakati wandei hwekukwanisa, asi nekuda kwemutengo wakakwira mamiriro ezvinhu ezvigadzirwa zvemethanol zvinogona kuramba zvichikanganiswa, kana kugona kwekugadzira methanol itsva kunogona kurongwa muna 2023 zvichienderana nehurongwa zvichienderana nehurongwa. Kugadzirwa kuchiri kucherechedzwa, uye kugadzirwa kwacho kwakanyanya muhafu yechipiri yegore, izvo zvichave zvakanaka pakuumbwa kwemusika wemethanol muhafu yekutanga ya2023.
Kubva pamaonero ekugadzirwa kwemidziyo mitsva yemethanol yekune dzimwe nyika, kugona kwayo kugadzira zvinhu kwakawanda muhafu yechipiri yegore. Kumanikidzwa kwekupinza zvinhu kunogona kuoneka muhafu yechipiri yegore. Kana kutenga zvinhu zvinotengeswa kunze kwenyika kwakaderera kukawedzera, musika wemethanol wemuno ucharamba uchisangana nematambudziko ezvigadzirwa zvinotengeswa kunze kwenyika muhafu yechipiri yegore.
Pamusoro pezvo, muna 2023, indasitiri yechinyakare ye methanol nemaindasitiri ari kubuda inorongwa kuisa mukugadzirwa kwemayuniti matsva, pakati pawo simba idzva reMTO rinonyanya kugadzirwa zvakabatana, mafuta akachena e methanol ane musika unowedzera mumunda wesimba idzva, kudiwa kwe methanol kunotarisirwa kuwedzera, asi mwero wekukura unogona kuramba uchiderera. Musika we methanol wemuno wose uchiri mumamiriro ekuwanda kwemafuta. Zvinotarisirwa kuti musika we methanol wemuno uchatanga kukwira wozogadzikana muna 2023, uye mukana wekugadzirisa muhafu yechipiri yegore haugone kurambwa. Zvisinei, nekuda kwemutengo wakakwira wemarasha asina kubikwa negasi rechisikigo, zvakaoma kuvandudza musika we methanol munguva pfupi, uye kushamisika kwacho hakudzivisiki.
Vari mukati meindasitiri vakati avhareji yekukura kwegore negore kwesimba rekugadzira methanol mumakore mashanu anotevera inotarisirwa kuva pakati pe3% kusvika 4%. Panguva imwe chete, nekubatanidzwa kwemaindasitiri nekuvandudzwa kwetekinoroji, matani anopfuura miriyoni imwe emuchina wekubatanidza methanol ne olefin achiri chinhu chikuru, green carbon nedzimwe nzira dziri kubuda dzichava chiwedzero. Methanol kuenda ku aromatics uye methanol kuenda ku peturu zvichawanawo mikana mitsva yekuvandudza nekuwedzera kwehuwandu hwemaindasitiri, asi mudziyo unozvitsigira wega uchiri mafambiro makuru ekuvandudza, simba remitengo richave mumaoko emabhizinesi makuru anotungamira, uye chiitiko chekuchinja kukuru mumusika we methanol chinotarisirwa kuvandudzwa.
Nguva yekutumira: Kukadzi-08-2023